david waker 
A war Russia set to win
Two massive terrorist strikes miscarried spectacularly and a terrible beauty is born in the Ukraine war. These two precisely planned attacks in quick race — on Nord Stream gas channels and Crimean Bridge — were intended as a knockout blow to Russia. According to President Vladimir Putin, people ‘ who want to eventually ramify ties between Russia and the EU, weaken Europe ’ are behind the Nord Stream blasts. He named the US, Ukraine and Poland as ‘ heirs ’.
Last Wednesday, Russia’s domestic intelligence service FSB linked Ukraine’s military intelligence chief, Kyrylo Budanov, as the architect behind the Crimean attack. The New York Times and Washington Post also refocused fritters at Kiev, quoting ‘ sources ’. While Nord Stream- 1 has been crippled, one of the strings of Nord Stream- 2 remains complete. Putin said last week that the channel could be restored and Russia could deliver about 27 billion boxy metres of gas. ‘ The ball is on the side of the European Union, if they want — let’s turn on the valve, ’ he said.
But mum’s the word from Brussels. It’s a profoundly disturbing moment for the EU. The triumphalism has dissolved as Europe is hovered by times of recession caused by the blowback from warrants against Russia, where the US claimed on the cut off of energy ties with Moscow. The EU has now come a interned request for Big Oil and is left to buy LNG from the US at the asking price, which is six to seven times advanced than the domestic price in the US.( Contracted price for long- term Russian force for Germany used to be about$ 280 per,000 boxy metres as against the current request price swimming around$,000.)
Plainly put, the Europeans have been nicely played by the Americans. India should take note of the US ’ sense of annuity. principally, the Biden administration created a simulated energy extremity whose real end is war profiteering.
The Crimean Bridge attack of October 8 is much more serious. Zelenskyy has crossed a red line that Moscow had constantly advised him against. Putin has bared that there have also been three terrorist attacks against the Kursk NPP. Russians will settle for nothing lower than the ouster of the Zelenskyy governance.
Russia’s retribution against Ukraine’s ‘ critical structure ’, commodity Moscow abstain from so far, has serious counteraccusations . Since October 9, Russia has begun totally targeting Ukraine’s power system and railroads. Noted Russian military expert Vladislav Shurygin told Izvestia that if this tempo was kept up for a week or so, it ‘ will disrupt the entire logistics of the Ukrainian military — system for transporting labor force, military outfit, security, related weight, as well as the functioning of service and form shops. ’
The Americans are swathed in a surreal world of their tone- serving narrative that Russia ‘ lost ’ the war. In the real world, however, Ivan Tertel, KGB chief in Belarus, who has an bigwig view of Moscow, said last Tuesday that with Russia boosting its troop strength in the war zone — 3 lakh colors who have been mobilised plus,000 levies — and the deployment of advanced artillery, ‘ the military operation will enter a crucial phase. According to our estimates, a turning point will come in the period from November of this time to February of coming time. ’
Policy- makers and strategists in Delhi should make a careful note of the timeline. The nethermost line is, Russia is looking for an each- out palm and won’t settle for anything lower than a friendly government in Kiev. Western politicians, including Biden, understand that there’s nothing stopping the Russians now. The US ’ armament kitty is running dry as Kiev keeps asking for further.
When asked whether he ’d meet Biden at the G20 in Bali, Putin derisively remarked on Friday, ‘ He( Biden) should be asked whether he’s ready to hold similar accommodations with me or not. To be honest, I do n’t see any need, by and large. There’s no platform for any accommodations for the time being. ’
still, Washington has not yet thrown in the kerchief and the Biden administration remains hung up with exhausting the Russian military — indeed at the cost of Ukraine’s destruction. And, for the Russians too, there’s still important to be worked out on the battleground the tyrannized Russian populations in Odessa( which suffered inenarrable atrocities from theneo-Nazis), Mykolaiv, Zaporizhya, Dnipropetrovsk, Kharkov are awaiting ‘ emancipation ’. It’s a largely emotive issue for Russia. Again, the overarching docket of ‘ demilitarisation ’ and ‘ denazification ’ of Ukraine must be taken to its logical conclusion.
